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By Craig Helmstetter and Anna Haecherl

The latest poll of Minnesota likely voters — the first conducted since Walz was announced as the Democrat’s Vice Presidential candidate and released on Monday — shows the Democrats leading the Republicans in the race for the state’s 10 electoral college votes.

Vice President Harris leads former President Trump by 6.9 percentage points in the first poll conducted in Minnesota since she selected Gov. Walz as her running mate. This lead is just within the poll’s margin of error, meaning that technically the race could be tied (but also that Harris’ lead could be even larger).

This latest poll comes after four other public polls of Minnesota voters conducted since Biden’s withdrawal all showing Harris leading Trump. Her lead is beyond the error margins associated with two of the polls: She leads by 6 percentage points in Fox News’ survey of 1,071 registered voters (margin of error ± 3.0 percentage points) and 10 percentage points in KSTP’s survey of 656 likely voters (credibility interval ± 4.4 percentage points).

In the latest poll, which was conducted by the Telegraph, only 4 percent indicated support for third-party candidates: 3 percent favored Robert F. Kennedy Jr., and less than 1 percent favored Green Party candidate Jill Stein and Libertarian Chase Oliver, respectively. Notably, that poll also found Harris’ job approval rating (46 percent) higher than the favorability ratings for either Trump (39 percent) or JD Vance (27 percent). In Minnesota, 51 percent of likely voters indicated a favorable rating for Walz.

Prior to Biden’s withdrawal, polling had generally shown the presidential race in Minnesota too close to call when factoring in the undecided voters and the error margins or credibility intervals that accompany the results.

For example, in early June, the MPR News | Star Tribune | KARE11 Minnesota Poll of 800 likely voters and margin of error ±3.5 percentage points, found that 45 percent favored Biden, 41 percent favored Trump, 6 percent favored Robert F. Kennedy Jr., and 7 percent were undecided.