Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – January 25

Published 5:16 am Saturday, January 25, 2025

Anthony Edwards and the Minnesota Timberwolves (23-21) are 4.5-point underdogs against Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets (28-16) Saturday, January 25, 2025 at Target Center. The game begins at 3:00 PM ET on ABC and ESPN+.

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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, January 25, 2025
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: ABC and ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Venue: Target Center

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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Timberwolves 114 – Nuggets 113

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Spread & Total Prediction for Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

  • Pick ATS: Timberwolves (+ 4.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Timberwolves (-0.5)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (228.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 227.4
  • The Nuggets (23-21-0 ATS) have covered the spread 52.3% of the time, 13.7% more often than the Timberwolves (17-27-0) this year.
  • Denver (12-10) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 4.5 points or more this season (54.5%) than Minnesota (4-2) does as a 4.5+-point underdog (66.7%).
  • Denver and its opponents have exceeded the point total 63.6% of the time this season (28 out of 44). That’s more often than Minnesota and its opponents have (22 out of 44).
  • The Nuggets have a .667 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (22-11) this season while the Timberwolves have a .250 winning percentage as a moneyline underdog (2-6).

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Nuggets Performance Insights

  • The Nuggets have been carried by their offense, as they rank third-best in the NBA by posting 121.0 points per game. They rank 24th in the league in points allowed (115.6 per contest).
  • Denver is allowing 42.7 boards per game this season (seventh-ranked in NBA), but it has provided a lift by averaging 46.0 rebounds per contest (fourth-best).
  • The Nuggets have been tallying plenty of assists in 2024-25, ranking best in the NBA with 31.0 dimes per game.
  • With 13.6 turnovers per game, Denver is 14th in the NBA. It forces 13.0 turnovers per contest, which ranks 22nd in the league.
  • The Nuggets haven’t been sinking many threes this year, ranking fourth-worst in the NBA (12.0 threes per game). But they rank third-best in the league with a 38.5% shooting percentage when they do fire from downtown.

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Timberwolves Performance Insights

  • On offense, the Timberwolves are the 22nd-ranked squad in the NBA (110.1 points per game). Defensively, they are fifth-best (108.2 points allowed per game).
  • In 2024-25, Minnesota is 19th in the league in rebounds (43.8 per game) and 10th in rebounds allowed (43.2).
  • The Timberwolves are 23rd in the league in assists (24.9 per game) in 2024-25.
  • Minnesota is 21st in the league in turnovers per game (14.7) and 16th in turnovers forced (13.7).
  • In 2024-25 the Timberwolves are fifth-best in the NBA in 3-point makes (15.2 per game), and fourth-best in 3-point percentage (38.3%).

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