How to Pick the Wild vs. Lightning Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – November 1

Published 11:37 am Thursday, October 31, 2024

The matchup between the Minnesota Wild and the Tampa Bay Lightning at 8:00 PM ET on Friday has a variety of betting options to consider. With that in mind, here’s an in-depth look at our best bets, along with picks and projections.

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Wild vs. Lightning Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 5 (model projecting 6.6 goals)

  • Seven Minnesota games this season have gone over Friday’s total of 5 goals.
  • In Tampa Bay’s 10 games this season, nine have finished with more goals than Friday’s total of 5.
  • The over/under for this game (5) is 2.7 less than the combined scoring averages for the Wild (3.78) and Lightning (3.9).
  • The 5.4 goals per game these two teams are giving up on average are 0.4 more than the total for this contest.

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Moneyline Pick

Wild Moneyline: -112

  • The Wild are 4-2 when favored on the moneyline this season.
  • Minnesota is 4-2 when it has played with moneyline odds of -112 or shorter (66.7% win percentage).
  • The implied moneyline probability in this game says the Wild have a 52.8% chance to win.

Lightning Moneyline: -109

  • In three games as the moneyline underdog, Tampa Bay has pulled off the upset two times.
  • The Lightning have a pair of victories in games with moneyline odds of -109 or longer (in three chances).
  • Tampa Bay has a 52.2% chance to win this matchup (implied from its moneyline odds).

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Minnesota 4, Tampa Bay 3

Wild Points Leaders

  • With five goals and 13 assists this season, Kirill Kaprizov is one of Minnesota’s top contributors (18 points).
  • With four goals and seven assists, Matthew Boldy is one of the most important offensive options for Minnesota with his 11 points (1.2 per game).
  • Through nine games, Mats Zuccarello has proven himself as an important offensive option for Minnesota. He has nine points (five goals and four assists).
  • Across six games played, Filip Gustavsson has a goaltending record of 4-1-1. During those games, he’s allowed 13 goals while recording 154 saves.

Lightning Points Leaders

  • Nikita Kucherov is a top offensive contributor for his team with 16 points (1.6 per game). He has recorded nine goals and seven assists in 10 games (playing 20:30 per game).
  • Anthony Cirelli is pivotal for Tampa Bay’s attack with 12 total points (1.2 per game), including two goals and 10 assists through 10 games.
  • Tampa Bay’s Brandon Hagel has 12 points, courtesy of six goals (second on team) and six assists (fifth).
  • Andrei Vasilevskiy has a .911 save percentage (16th in the league), with 215 total saves, while allowing 21 goals (2.5 goals against average). He has put together a 6-3-0 record between the posts for Tampa Bay this season.

Wild’s Schedule

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Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
10/24/2024 Lightning W 4-2 Away +135
10/26/2024 Flyers L 7-5 Away -137
10/29/2024 Penguins W 5-3 Away -120
11/1/2024 Lightning Home -112
11/3/2024 Maple Leafs Home
11/5/2024 Kings Home
11/7/2024 Sharks Away

Lightning’s Schedule

Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
10/26/2024 Capitals W 3-0 Home -165
10/28/2024 Predators W 3-2 Home -140
10/30/2024 Avalanche W 5-2 Away -117
11/1/2024 Wild Away -109
11/3/2024 Jets Away
11/5/2024 Blues Away
11/7/2024 Flyers Home

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Minnesota vs. Tampa Bay Game Info

  • Date: Friday, November 1, 2024
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Location: Saint Paul, Minnesota
  • Venue: Xcel Energy Center

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